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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

The Village at Aversboro Eviction Risk: Moderate , Garner

Tract 37183052812 · Wake County, NC · pop 3,554 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 4.2/10, tract 37183052812 in the The Village at Aversboro area of Garner, NC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,554 residents. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 7% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,568
Renter share13.1%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$103,182

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In The Village at Aversboro
Moderate
Within parent city
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 11 tracts In Garner
Low
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#91 of 230 tracts In Wake County
Elevated
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#1,072 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Garner and the region

Centroid at 35.6782, -78.6152 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Village at Aversboro scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Garner
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,385 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Garner
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Garner
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Garner
5.6

How The Village at Aversboro compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Village at Aversboro risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0528124.2Garnerparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Village at Aversboro

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Cost burden runs 50% here against 42.7% across Wake County.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.3/10. Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally.

At $1,385 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Garner commands. Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.6/10. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $103,182, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 37183052812

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37183052812?

Census tract 37183052812 in the The Village at Aversboro neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37183052812?

Median gross rent is $1,385/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37183052812?

9.2% of residents in tract 37183052812 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,554.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37183052812?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 20th, minority 42th, housing 35th.
Q5

Is tract 37183052812 considered part of The Village at Aversboro?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37183052812 fall within The Village at Aversboro (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 37183052812 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37183052812 compare to Garner overall?

Tract 37183052812 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Garner at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garner eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Garner

Top eight tracts in Garner ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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