College View Eviction Risk: Moderate

Against a Raleigh baseline of 30.9%, 64% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 46%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Annualized rent equals 47% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. This is a renter market: 97% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.6/10.

Average gross rent is $1,161, 26% below the Raleigh average of $1,572. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. The filing record is not thin: 97 evictions logged in this tract.

The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 3.8% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 4.0% in 2016 against a 3.8% peak.

Among the 107 mapped neighborhoods of Raleigh, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

One tract means one number: 5.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.