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Neighborhood · Raleigh, NC

Worthdale Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,709 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Worthdale is a one-tract neighborhood of Raleigh, NC and houses 5,709 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.5/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 54% against 30.9% citywide, putting Worthdale 22.7% over its own city.

27% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.8/10.

Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Average gross rent is $1,206, 23% below the Raleigh average of $1,572. The filing record is not thin: 269 evictions logged in this tract.

The poverty rate is 17%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 15.6% of renter households. That places it #1 of 107 neighborhoods in Raleigh.

Judgments average 7.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Arden Forest and The Grey.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $61,447.

One tract means one number: 5.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Worthdale vs Raleigh How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.6% +73%
Raleigh: 30.9%
Average gross rent
$1,206 -23%
Raleigh: $1,572
Average HH income
$61,447 -25%
Raleigh: $82,424
Poverty rate
16.6% +45%
Raleigh: 11.4%
Renter share
47.5% -4%
Raleigh: 49.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Worthdale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Worthdale scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
48% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
16.6% below poverty line · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Worthdale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Worthdale score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.5WorthdaleNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Worthdale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37183052002 5.5 5,709 54% $1,206
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 84

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 83%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 81%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 92%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 61%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Worthdale

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 269Total filings (sum)
  • 16.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.6%Peak year (2016)
  • 15.64%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Worthdale

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Worthdale

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Worthdale?

Worthdale scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Worthdale compare to Raleigh overall?

Worthdale scores 1.4 points higher than Raleigh overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,206 vs $1,572.
Q3

What is the average rent in Worthdale?

Average gross rent in Worthdale is $1,206/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Worthdale residents are renters?

48% of Worthdale households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Raleigh). The neighborhood has 5,709 residents.
Q5

Is Worthdale a high social-vulnerability area?

Worthdale sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Worthdale for landlords?

Worthdale carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Raleigh as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Worthdale?

Worthdale has 5,870 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (70.5%), Hispanic / Latino (14.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (9.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Worthdale

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Raleigh

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Worthdale.

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