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Neighborhood · Fargo, ND

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 1,462 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 4.6–4.6

Downtown maps to a single census tract in Fargo, ND and houses 1,462 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.6/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 50% against 26.3% citywide, putting Downtown 24.1% over its own city.

This is a renter market: 97% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10.

On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10. 18% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $747, 21% below the Fargo average of $946. That places it #1 of 25 neighborhoods in Fargo.

For a like-for-like read, Brunsdale and Riverwood 2nd Addition score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $29,451.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown vs Fargo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.4% +92%
Fargo: 26.3%
Average gross rent
$747 -21%
Fargo: $946
Average HH income
$29,451
Fargo: $0
Poverty rate
22.9% +78%
Fargo: 12.8%
Renter share
96.7% +72%
Fargo: 56.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.6–4.6

Why Downtown scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
97% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Economic stress
22.9% below poverty line · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.6DowntownNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
38017000700 4.6 1,462 50% $747
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 50

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 72%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 3%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?

Downtown scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown compare to Fargo overall?

Downtown scores 1.4 points higher than Fargo overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 26% citywide. Average rent: $747 vs $946.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown?

Average gross rent in Downtown is $747/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?

97% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Fargo). The neighborhood has 1,462 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Downtown for landlords?

Downtown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fargo as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?

Downtown has 1,605 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.8%), Hispanic / Latino (7.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fargo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown.

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