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Neighborhood · Fargo, ND

Willow Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 9,257 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 3.4–5.5

Willow Park is a white-black neighborhood in Fargo with 2 census tracts and a population of 9,257 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 34% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 20% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $869/month sits 8% lower than the Fargo citywide average ($946).

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Willow Park vs Fargo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
34.3% +30%
Fargo: 26.3%
Average gross rent
$869 -8%
Fargo: $946
Average HH income
$44,953
Fargo: $0
Poverty rate
26.2% +104%
Fargo: 12.8%
Renter share
94.0% +67%
Fargo: 56.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Willow Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.4–5.5

Why Willow Park scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
94% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Economic stress
26.2% below poverty line · Range 1.2–9.4 across tracts
6.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–3.7 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Willow Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Willow Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Willow Park: 4.84.8Willow ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 1.81.8Parent cityhost cityState: 1.81.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Willow Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
38017010106 5.5 6,046 43% $864
38017010111 3.4 3,211 18% $877
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 79

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 83%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 76%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 61%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Willow Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Willow Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Willow Park?

Willow Park scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Willow Park compare to Fargo overall?

Willow Park scores 3.0 points higher than Fargo overall (1.8/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 26% citywide. Average rent: $869 vs $946.
Q3

What is the average rent in Willow Park?

Average gross rent in Willow Park is $869/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Willow Park residents are renters?

94% of Willow Park households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Fargo). The neighborhood has 9,257 residents.
Q5

Is Willow Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Willow Park sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Willow Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Willow Park is census tract 38017010106 (score 5.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 5.5, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Willow Park for landlords?

Willow Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fargo as a whole (1.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Willow Park?

Willow Park has 8,377 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (56%), Black (non-Hispanic) (23.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (12.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Willow Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fargo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Willow Park.

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