Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Willow Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Fargo

Tract 38017010111 · Cass County, ND · pop 3,211 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

In Willow Park in Fargo, census tract 38017010111 scores 2.2/10 for eviction risk. That ranks it among the lowest-risk tracts in the country for landlords, near the bottom 1% nationally.

18% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $877 a month against an average household income of $51,263 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 86% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.4

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 71% Owners 14%

Tract context

Occupied units1,682

Renter share86.1%

SVI overall0.62

Poverty rate4.7%

Median income$51,263

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fargo and the region

Centroid at 46.8547, -96.8672 · click any tract to drill in

Why Willow Park scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fargo

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.9

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

4.7% poverty · this tract

1.2

Supply constraint

$877 rent vs county FMR

3.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fargo

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fargo

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fargo

1.5

How Willow Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

71%Socioeconomic
58%Household composition
48%Racial/ethnic minority
45%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Willow Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.4%Housing insecurity
7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
15.1%Food insecurity
9.3%SNAP enrollment
8.4%Transit barriers
9.7%No health insurance
16.0%Frequent mental distress
23.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Willow Park

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 3.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fargo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cass County average of 3.2 and below the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 38017010111

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38017010111?

Census tract 38017010111 in the Willow Park neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38017010111?

Median gross rent is $877/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38017010111?

4.7% of residents in tract 38017010111 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,211.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38017010111?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 58th, minority 48th, housing 45th.

Is tract 38017010111 considered part of Willow Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38017010111 fall within Willow Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 38017010111 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38017010111 compare to Fargo overall?

Tract 38017010111 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Fargo at 1.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fargo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fargo

Top eight tracts in Fargo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.