6 census tracts · pop 16,440 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10
· range 3–4.3
Downtown Grand Forks takes in 6 census tracts of Grand Forks, ND, population 16,440. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.7/10, in the Lower tier. Against a Grand Forks baseline of 27.8%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 1.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 18%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The 6 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 4.3, a 1.3-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.
The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Average gross rent runs $983, close to the Grand Forks average.
42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
6 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown Grand Forks vs Grand ForksHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.2%+55%
Grand Forks: 27.8%
Average gross rent
$983+0%
Grand Forks: $980
Average HH income
$65,595–
Grand Forks: $0
Poverty rate
16.6%+2%
Grand Forks: 16.3%
Renter share
41.5%-23%
Grand Forks: 53.6%
Geographic context
Risk heat across Downtown Grand Forks and the region
Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 3–4.3
Why Downtown Grand Forks scores 3.7
9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
42% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Economic stress
16.6% below poverty line · Range 2.3–5.7 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–7.4 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison
Downtown Grand Forks vs. parent city, state, U.S.
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
Variance across tracts
How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Downtown Grand Forks?
Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.
Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.3 points from
3 to
4.3.
Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority32%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown Grand Forks
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.3%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility shutoff threat
12.7%Food insecurity
8.5%SNAP enrollment
7.9%No health insurance
28.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Downtown Grand Forks
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown Grand Forks?
Downtown Grand Forks scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Downtown Grand Forks compare to Grand Forks overall?
Downtown Grand Forks scores 0.5 points higher than Grand Forks overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $983 vs $980.
Q3
What is the average rent in Downtown Grand Forks?
Average gross rent in Downtown Grand Forks eviction risk is $983/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Downtown Grand Forks residents are renters?
42% of Downtown Grand Forks households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Grand Forks). The neighborhood has 16,440 residents.
Q5
Is Downtown Grand Forks a high social-vulnerability area?
Downtown Grand Forks sits in the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Downtown Grand Forks have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown Grand Forks is census tract 38035010200 (score 4.3/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.3, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Downtown Grand Forks for landlords?
Downtown Grand Forks eviction risk carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Grand Forks as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown Grand Forks?
Downtown Grand Forks has 16,617 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.1%), Hispanic / Latino (8.4%), Other / Multiracial (7.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
