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Neighborhood · Grand Forks, ND

Downtown Grand Forks Eviction Risk: Moderate

6 census tracts · pop 16,440 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 3.4–4.5

Downtown Grand Forks is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Grand Forks with 6 census tracts and a population of 16,440 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 43% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 18% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $983/month sits 0% higher than the Grand Forks citywide average ($980).

Risk score
4
Moderate
6 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown Grand Forks vs Grand Forks How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.2% +55%
Grand Forks: 27.8%
Average gross rent
$983 +0%
Grand Forks: $980
Average HH income
$65,595
Grand Forks: $0
Poverty rate
16.6% +2%
Grand Forks: 16.3%
Renter share
41.5% -23%
Grand Forks: 53.6%
Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown Grand Forks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 3.4–4.5

Why Downtown Grand Forks scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
42% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Economic stress
16.6% below poverty line · Range 2.3–5.7 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–7.4 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

Downtown Grand Forks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown Grand Forks score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Downtown Grand For: 4.04.0Downtown Grand ForNeighborhoodParent city: 1.81.8Parent cityhost cityState: 1.81.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Downtown Grand Forks?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.1 points from 3.4 to 4.5. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Downtown Grand Forks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
38035010200 4.5 4,378 44% $1,103
38035010600 4.3 2,349 47% $808
38035010100 4.2 3,271 48% $849
38035011000 3.8 2,043 29% $1,219
38035010700 3.5 2,299 18% $806
38035010900 3.4 2,100 71% $1,104
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 35

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 37%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 23%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 32%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown Grand Forks

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown Grand Forks

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown Grand Forks?

Downtown Grand Forks scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown Grand Forks compare to Grand Forks overall?

Downtown Grand Forks scores 2.2 points higher than Grand Forks overall (1.8/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $983 vs $980.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown Grand Forks?

Average gross rent in Downtown Grand Forks eviction risk is $983/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown Grand Forks residents are renters?

42% of Downtown Grand Forks households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Grand Forks). The neighborhood has 16,440 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown Grand Forks a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown Grand Forks sits in the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Downtown Grand Forks have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown Grand Forks is census tract 38035010200 (score 4.5/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 4.5, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Downtown Grand Forks for landlords?

Downtown Grand Forks eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Grand Forks as a whole (1.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown Grand Forks?

Downtown Grand Forks has 16,617 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.1%), Hispanic / Latino (8.4%), Other / Multiracial (7.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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