Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Grand Forks Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 38035010100 ·
Grand Forks County, ND · pop 3,271 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 3.8/10, tract 38035010100 in the Downtown Grand Forks area of Grand Forks, ND reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,271. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%Stable renters 32%Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,963
Renter share61.3%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate15.0%
Median income$50,136
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60th percentile
#3 of 6 tracts In Downtown Grand Forks
Elevated
Within parent city
44th percentile
#10 of 17 tracts In Grand Forks
Moderate
Within county
57th percentile
#10 of 22 tracts In Grand Forks County
Elevated
Within state
71th percentile
#66 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Grand Forks and the region
Centroid at 47.9293, -97.0412 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Grand Forks scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Grand Forks
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.0% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$849 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Grand Forks
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Grand Forks
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Grand Forks
1.5
How Downtown Grand Forks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
55%Socioeconomic
2%Household composition
35%Racial/ethnic minority
81%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Grand Forks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.4%Housing insecurity
7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
14.3%Food insecurity
9.8%SNAP enrollment
8.8%Transit barriers
8.4%No health insurance
17.1%Frequent mental distress
28.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Grand Forks
On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 48% here against 39.2% across Grand Forks County. At $849 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Grand Forks commands.
On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Grand Forks County average of 3.6 closely.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $50,136. 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 38035010100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38035010100?
Census tract 38035010100 in the Downtown Grand Forks neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 38035010100?
Median gross rent is $849/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 38035010100?
15.0% of residents in tract 38035010100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,271.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 38035010100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 2th, minority 35th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 38035010100 considered part of Downtown Grand Forks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38035010100 fall within Downtown Grand Forks (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 38035010100 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 38035010100 compare to Grand Forks overall?
Tract 38035010100 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Grand Forks at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Forks eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Grand Forks
Top eight tracts in Grand Forks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.