Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Grand Forks Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 38035010200 · Grand Forks County, ND · pop 4,378 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 38035010200 runs through the Downtown Grand Forks neighborhood of Grand Forks. With 4,378 residents, it scores 3.5/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #79,683 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

44% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,103 a month while the average household earns $64,250 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 22% Owners 60%

Tract context

Occupied units1,756

Renter share40.1%

SVI overall0.27

Poverty rate22.6%

Median income$64,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Forks and the region

Centroid at 47.9260, -97.0556 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Grand Forks scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Grand Forks

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

22.6% poverty · this tract

5.7

Supply constraint

$1,103 rent vs county FMR

6.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Grand Forks

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Grand Forks

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Grand Forks

1.5

How Downtown Grand Forks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

35%Socioeconomic
10%Household composition
25%Racial/ethnic minority
50%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Grand Forks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.5%Housing insecurity
7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
13.6%Food insecurity
9.0%SNAP enrollment
8.5%Transit barriers
8.4%No health insurance
17.1%Frequent mental distress
30.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Grand Forks

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Grand Forks eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Grand Forks County average of 3.2 and above the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 38035010200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38035010200?

Census tract 38035010200 in the Downtown Grand Forks neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38035010200?

Median gross rent is $1,103/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38035010200?

22.6% of residents in tract 38035010200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,378.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38035010200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 10th, minority 25th, housing 50th.

Is tract 38035010200 considered part of Downtown Grand Forks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38035010200 fall within Downtown Grand Forks (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 38035010200 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38035010200 compare to Grand Forks overall?

Tract 38035010200 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Grand Forks at 1.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Forks eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Forks

Top eight tracts in Grand Forks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.