Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Grand Forks Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 38035010200 · Grand Forks County, ND · pop 4,378 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 4.3/10, tract 38035010200 in the Downtown Grand Forks area of Grand Forks, ND reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 22% Owners 60%

Tract context

Occupied units1,756

Renter share40.1%

SVI overall0.27

Poverty rate22.6%

Median income$64,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Forks and the region

Centroid at 47.9260, -97.0556 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Grand Forks scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Grand Forks

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

22.6% poverty · this tract

5.7

Supply constraint

$1,103 rent vs county FMR

6.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Grand Forks

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Grand Forks

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Grand Forks

1.5

How Downtown Grand Forks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

35%Socioeconomic
10%Household composition
25%Racial/ethnic minority
50%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Grand Forks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.5%Housing insecurity
7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
13.6%Food insecurity
9.0%SNAP enrollment
8.5%Transit barriers
8.4%No health insurance
17.1%Frequent mental distress
30.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Grand Forks

Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against Grand Forks County at 39.2%, 44% of renters here are cost-burdened.

At $1,103 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Grand Forks commands. Against the Grand Forks County average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.

The voucher gap is 12.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.4/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $64,250. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 38035010200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38035010200?

Census tract 38035010200 in the Downtown Grand Forks neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38035010200?

Median gross rent is $1,103/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38035010200?

22.6% of residents in tract 38035010200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,378.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38035010200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 10th, minority 25th, housing 50th.

Is tract 38035010200 considered part of Downtown Grand Forks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38035010200 fall within Downtown Grand Forks (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 38035010200 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38035010200 compare to Grand Forks overall?

Tract 38035010200 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Grand Forks at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Forks eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Forks

Top eight tracts in Grand Forks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.