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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Grand Forks Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 38035010900 · Grand Forks County, ND · pop 2,100 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 38035010900 sits in the Downtown Grand Forks area of Grand Forks eviction risk, ND, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 2,100. Cost burden runs 71% here against 39.2% across Grand Forks County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 3% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units878
Renter share10.5%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$83,556

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Downtown Grand Forks
Very Low
Within parent city
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 17 tracts In Grand Forks
Very Low
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 22 tracts In Grand Forks County
Very Low
Within state
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#146 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Forks and the region

Centroid at 47.9082, -97.0222 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Grand Forks scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Grand Forks
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,104 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Grand Forks
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Grand Forks
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Grand Forks
1.5

How Downtown Grand Forks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Grand Forks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 010900Grand Forks: 3.23.2Grand Forksparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Grand Forks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Grand Forks

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10.

The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 9.4% against 17.8% nationally. At $1,104 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Grand Forks commands.

The voucher gap is 12.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. It sits 0.6 points below the Grand Forks County average of 3.6. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $83,556, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 38035010900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38035010900?

Census tract 38035010900 in the Downtown Grand Forks neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 38035010900?

Median gross rent is $1,104/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 38035010900?

11.1% of residents in tract 38035010900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,100.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 38035010900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 13th, minority 13th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 38035010900 considered part of Downtown Grand Forks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38035010900 fall within Downtown Grand Forks (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 38035010900 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 38035010900 compare to Grand Forks overall?

Tract 38035010900 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Grand Forks at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Forks eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Forks

Top eight tracts in Grand Forks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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