Neighborhood · Minot, ND

Bel Air Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,319 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.5/10 · range 2.5–2.5

Bel Air is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Minot with 1 census tract and a population of 5,319 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 27% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 14% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $816/month sits 16% lower than the Minot citywide average ($973).

Risk score

2.5

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Bel Air vs Minot How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

27.0% +11%

Minot: 24.3%

Average gross rent

$816 -16%

Minot: $973

Average HH income

$88,750 —

Minot: $0

Poverty rate

4.7% -51%

Minot: 9.7%

Renter share

28.0% -35%

Minot: 43.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bel Air and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2.5–2.5

Why Bel Air scores 2.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts

2.8

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Rent control risk

27% of income on rent · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Tenant organizing strength

28% renter households · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts

8.3

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts

4.2

Economic stress

4.7% below poverty line · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts

1.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts

2.8

Risk score comparison

Bel Air vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Bel Air

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
38101010302	2.5	5,319	27%	$816

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 16

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 19%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 51%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 27%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 12%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bel Air

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.2%Housing insecurity
5.3%Utility shutoff threat
9.1%Food insecurity
5.5%SNAP enrollment
6.5%No health insurance
25.6%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Bel Air

What is the eviction-risk score for Bel Air?

Bel Air scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Bel Air compare to Minot overall?

Bel Air scores 0.7 points higher than Minot overall (1.8/10). Renters spend 27% of income on rent vs 24% citywide. Average rent: $816 vs $973.

What is the average rent in Bel Air?

Average gross rent in Bel Air is $816/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Bel Air residents are renters?

28% of Bel Air households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Minot). The neighborhood has 5,319 residents.

Is Bel Air a high social-vulnerability area?

Bel Air sits in the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Bel Air for landlords?

Bel Air carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Minot as a whole (1.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Bel Air?

Bel Air has 5,186 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (84.9%), Other / Multiracial (5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (4.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bel Air

2.5 West Oaks 2 tracts · pop 11,640

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Minot

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bel Air.

2.4 West Oaks 2 tracts · pop 11,640 2.7 West Minot 1 tracts · pop 5,355 3.4 Eastwood Park 1 tracts · pop 4,281 5 Downtown 1 tracts · pop 3,099

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