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Neighborhood · Minot, ND

Bel Air Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,319 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Bel Air is a one-tract neighborhood of Minot, ND, population 5,319. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 1/10.

27% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.2/10. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10.

Severe burden reaches 14%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Average gross rent is $816, 16% below the Minot average of $973.

SNAP participation is 5.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 9.1% of adults, 8.7 points below the national rate. That places it #5 of 5 neighborhoods in Minot.

Only 28% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Against average income of $88,750, annual rent is only 11%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Bel Air vs Minot How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
27.0% +11%
Minot: 24.3%
Average gross rent
$816 -16%
Minot: $973
Average HH income
$88,750
Minot: $0
Poverty rate
4.7% -51%
Minot: 9.7%
Renter share
28.0% -35%
Minot: 43.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bel Air and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Bel Air scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
27% of income on rent · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
28% renter households · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Economic stress
4.7% below poverty line · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts
1.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

Bel Air vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bel Air score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Bel AirNeighborhood3.6Parent cityhost city3.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Bel Air

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
38101010302 3 5,319 27% $816
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 16

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 19%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 51%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 27%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 12%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bel Air

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bel Air

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bel Air?

Bel Air scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bel Air compare to Minot overall?

Bel Air scores 0.6 points lower than Minot overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 27% of income on rent vs 24% citywide. Average rent: $816 vs $973.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bel Air?

Average gross rent in Bel Air is $816/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bel Air residents are renters?

28% of Bel Air households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Minot). The neighborhood has 5,319 residents.
Q5

Is Bel Air a high social-vulnerability area?

Bel Air sits in the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Bel Air for landlords?

Bel Air carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Minot as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Bel Air?

Bel Air has 5,186 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (84.9%), Other / Multiracial (5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (4.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bel Air

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Minot

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bel Air.

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