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Neighborhood · Minot, ND

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,099 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5/10 · range 5–5

Downtown maps to a single census tract in Minot, ND, population 3,099. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5/10, in the Moderate tier. 39% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Minot rate of 24.3%.

The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 26%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10. Average gross rent is $728, 25% below the Minot average of $973. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2/10. That places it #1 of 5 neighborhoods in Minot.

For a like-for-like read, Eastwood Park and West Minot score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $33,500. 65% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown vs Minot How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
38.5% +58%
Minot: 24.3%
Average gross rent
$728 -25%
Minot: $973
Average HH income
$33,500
Minot: $0
Poverty rate
25.7% +166%
Minot: 9.7%
Renter share
64.7% +49%
Minot: 43.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5–5

Why Downtown scores 5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
65% renter households · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Economic stress
25.7% below poverty line · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Risk score comparison

Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.0DowntownNeighborhood3.6Parent cityhost city3.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
38101010100 5 3,099 38% $728
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 54%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 52%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 40%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 97%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?

Downtown scores 5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown compare to Minot overall?

Downtown scores 1.4 points higher than Minot overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 24% citywide. Average rent: $728 vs $973.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown?

Average gross rent in Downtown is $728/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?

65% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Minot). The neighborhood has 3,099 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Downtown for landlords?

Downtown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Minot as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?

Downtown has 3,023 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.7%), Hispanic / Latino (15.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Minot

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown.

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