Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Minot
Tract 38101010100 ·
Ward County, ND · pop 3,099 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 38101010100 covers part of the Downtown area of Minot, ND, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,099 residents. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%Stable renters 40%Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,538
Renter share64.7%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate25.7%
Median income$33,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Downtown
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 10 tracts In Minot
Very High
Within county
100th percentile
#1 of 16 tracts In Ward County
Very High
Within state
98th percentile
#5 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minot and the region
Centroid at 48.2317, -101.2912 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Minot
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.7% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$728 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minot
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minot
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minot
4.2
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
54%Socioeconomic
52%Household composition
40%Racial/ethnic minority
97%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.4%Housing insecurity
8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
15.9%Food insecurity
11.4%SNAP enrollment
9.2%Transit barriers
9.5%No health insurance
16.2%Frequent mental distress
32.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.3/10.
At $728 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Minot commands. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
It sits 1.4 points above the Ward County average of 3.6. 38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Ward County average of 34.0%. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the ND average is 3.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $33,500.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 38101010100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38101010100?
Census tract 38101010100 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 38101010100?
Median gross rent is $728/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 38101010100?
25.7% of residents in tract 38101010100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,099.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 38101010100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 52th, minority 40th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 38101010100 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38101010100 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 38101010100 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 38101010100 compare to Minot overall?
Tract 38101010100 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Minot at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minot eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minot
Top eight tracts in Minot ranked by composite eviction-risk score.