Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Minot

Tract 38101010100 · Ward County, ND · pop 3,099 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

In Downtown in Minot, census tract 38101010100 scores 4.4/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 20th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 38% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $728 a month while the average household earns $33,500 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 65% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 40% Owners 35%

Tract context

Occupied units1,538

Renter share64.7%

SVI overall0.74

Poverty rate25.7%

Median income$33,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Minot and the region

Centroid at 48.2317, -101.2912 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Minot

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

2.8

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

25.7% poverty · this tract

6.4

Supply constraint

$728 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Minot

3.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Minot

8.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Minot

4.2

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

54%Socioeconomic
52%Household composition
40%Racial/ethnic minority
97%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.4%Housing insecurity
8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
15.9%Food insecurity
11.4%SNAP enrollment
9.2%Transit barriers
9.5%No health insurance
16.2%Frequent mental distress
32.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Minot eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Ward County average of 3.9 and above the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 38101010100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38101010100?

Census tract 38101010100 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38101010100?

Median gross rent is $728/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38101010100?

25.7% of residents in tract 38101010100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,099.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38101010100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 52th, minority 40th, housing 97th.

Is tract 38101010100 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38101010100 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 38101010100 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38101010100 compare to Minot overall?

Tract 38101010100 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Minot at 1.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minot eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Minot

Top eight tracts in Minot ranked by composite eviction-risk score.