Census Tract · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally

Minot Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 38101010602 · Ward County, ND · pop 5,288 · 64% of tract blocks fall in Minot

Census tract 38101010602 covers Minot, home to 5,288 residents. For landlords it grades $1/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 12th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

31% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $88,401 a year. About 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

3.1

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 29% Owners 58%

Tract context

Occupied units2,283

Renter share41.7%

SVI overall0.38

Poverty rate12.2%

Median income$88,401

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Minot and the region

Centroid at 48.2042, -101.2503 · click any tract to drill in

Why Minot scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Minot

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

2.8

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

12.2% poverty · this tract

3.1

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Minot

3.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Minot

8.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Minot

4.2

How Minot compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

52%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
31%Racial/ethnic minority
90%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.1%Housing insecurity
6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
11.3%Food insecurity
7.0%SNAP enrollment
6.8%Transit barriers
7.9%No health insurance
15.0%Frequent mental distress
27.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Minot

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Minot eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Ward County average of 3.9 and above the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 38101010602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38101010602?

Census tract 38101010602 in Minot scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38101010602?

12.2% of residents in tract 38101010602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,288.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38101010602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 1th, minority 31th, housing 90th.

What share of households in tract 38101010602 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38101010602 compare to Minot overall?

Tract 38101010602 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Minot at 1.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minot eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Minot

Top eight tracts in Minot ranked by composite eviction-risk score.