Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Minot Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 38101010602 · Ward County, ND · pop 5,288 · 64% of tract blocks fall in Minot
Census tract 38101010602 covers part of Minot, ND, and scores 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,283
Renter share41.7%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$88,401
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
National
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minot and the region
Centroid at 48.2042, -101.2503 · click any tract to drill in
Why Minot scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minot
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minot
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minot
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minot
4.2
How Minot compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.3%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 27.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Minot
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.3/10.
The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 31% of renters. It tracks the Ward County average of 3.6 closely. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 38101010602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38101010602?
Census tract 38101010602 in Minot scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 38101010602?
12.2% of residents in tract 38101010602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,288.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 38101010602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 1th, minority 31th, housing 90th.
Q4
What share of households in tract 38101010602 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5
How does tract 38101010602 compare to Minot overall?
Tract 38101010602 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Minot at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minot eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minot
Top eight tracts in Minot ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · ND
Downtown
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · ND
38101010601
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · ND
38101010702
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · ND
Eastwood Park
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · ND
West Minot
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · ND
38101010200
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · ND
West Oaks
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · ND
Bel Air
3
/ 10 · Low
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