Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Minot Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 38101010702 · Ward County, ND · pop 2,763 · 82% of tract blocks fall in Minot

38101010702 is a census tract in Minot, ND. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 34% Owners 50%

Tract context

Occupied units1,218

Renter share49.8%

SVI overall0.61

Poverty rate13.5%

Median income$61,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Minot and the region

Centroid at 48.2242, -101.2500 · click any tract to drill in

Why Minot scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Minot

3.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

2.8

State political climate

North Dakota legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

13.5% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

$930 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Minot

3.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Minot

8.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Minot

4.2

How Minot compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

64%Socioeconomic
55%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
54%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.5%Housing insecurity
8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
16.8%Food insecurity
11.4%SNAP enrollment
9.7%Transit barriers
10.7%No health insurance
17.9%Frequent mental distress
30.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Minot

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.3/10.

The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.0 points above the Ward County average of 3.6. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.5/10. Statewide the ND average is 3.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 32% of renters. Average gross rent is $930, close to the Minot average. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $61,875.

50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 38101010702

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38101010702?

Census tract 38101010702 in Minot scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 38101010702?

Median gross rent is $930/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 38101010702?

13.5% of residents in tract 38101010702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,763.

How socially vulnerable is tract 38101010702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 55th, minority 46th, housing 54th.

What share of households in tract 38101010702 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 38101010702 compare to Minot overall?

Tract 38101010702 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Minot at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minot eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Minot

Top eight tracts in Minot ranked by composite eviction-risk score.