Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39007000400 · Ashtabula County, OH · pop 1,517 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 39007000400, home to 1,517 residents in the Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District neighborhood of Ashtabula, scores 5.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 67% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $716 a month against an average household income of $52,037 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units648
Renter share29.6%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate22.0%
Median income$52,037
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ashtabula and the region
Centroid at 41.8978, -80.7889 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ashtabula
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
22.0% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$716 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ashtabula
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ashtabula
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ashtabula
8.4
How Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 144Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.42%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.9%Peak (2003)
- 14Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.4%Housing insecurity
- 10.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.1%Food insecurity
- 17.9%SNAP enrollment
- 10.0%Transit barriers
- 10.3%No health insurance
- 19.6%Frequent mental distress
- 39.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ashtabula, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Ashtabula County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 144 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 2.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.9% of renter households in 2003.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39007000400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39007000400?
Census tract 39007000400 in the Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39007000400?
Median gross rent is $716/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39007000400?
22.0% of residents in tract 39007000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,517.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39007000400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 85th, minority 21th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 39007000400 considered part of Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39007000400 fall within Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39007000400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 144 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39007000400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.42% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39007000400 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39007000400 compare to Ashtabula overall?
Tract 39007000400 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Ashtabula at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashtabula; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ashtabula
Top eight tracts in Ashtabula ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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