Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Ashtabula Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39007000704 · Ashtabula County, OH · pop 4,184 · 45% of tract blocks fall in Ashtabula
Tract 39007000704 sits in Ashtabula, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. Population here is 4,184. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,753
Renter share39.7%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate24.3%
Median income$45,181
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
National
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ashtabula and the region
Centroid at 41.8459, -80.7610 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ashtabula scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ashtabula
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
24.3% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$700 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ashtabula
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ashtabula
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ashtabula
8.4
How Ashtabula compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 602Total filings over 15 yrs
- 5.23%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.7%Peak (2014)
- 41Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.7%Housing insecurity
- 13.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.7%Food insecurity
- 25.0%SNAP enrollment
- 12.8%Transit barriers
- 13.6%No health insurance
- 21.8%Frequent mental distress
- 41.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ashtabula
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
It sits 1.3 points above the Ashtabula County average of 4.2. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.2/10.
SNAP participation runs 25.0% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 602 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Food insecurity runs 25.7% against 17.8% nationally.
At $700 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Ashtabula commands. The worst year on record was 2014, when 6.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.2% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39007000704
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39007000704?
Census tract 39007000704 in Ashtabula scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39007000704?
Median gross rent is $700/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39007000704?
24.3% of residents in tract 39007000704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,184.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39007000704?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 78th, minority 31th, housing 64th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39007000704?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 602 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39007000704 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.23% of renter households, peaking at 6.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39007000704 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39007000704 compare to Ashtabula overall?
Tract 39007000704 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Ashtabula at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashtabula; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ashtabula
Top eight tracts in Ashtabula ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related
Explore the geography around tract 39007000704
Parent city ↑
Ashtabula
4.4 / 10
Parent county ↑
Ashtabula County
Parent state ↑
Ohio
Sibling tract →
Downtown Conneaut
5.4 / 10
Sibling tract →
Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District
5.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
Tract 39007000701
5.8 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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