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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39007000601 · Ashtabula County, OH · pop 3,063 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

The Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District area of Ashtabula is where census tract 39007000601 sits, home to 3,063 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.5/10. It lands near the 86th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 65% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $960 a month against an average household income of $40,766 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 16% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,223
Renter share45.1%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate32.6%
Median income$40,766

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District
Very High
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Ashtabula
Elevated
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 28 tracts In Ashtabula County
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#294 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ashtabula and the region

Centroid at 41.8854, -80.7992 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ashtabula
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
32.6% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$960 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ashtabula
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ashtabula
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ashtabula
8.4

How Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 000601Ashtabula: 3.03.0Ashtabulaparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 457Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 5.04%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.9%Peak (2016)
  • 32Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390070006012002: 29 filings (4.84/100 renter HHs)2003: 22 filings (3.67/100 renter HHs)2004: 29 filings (4.84/100 renter HHs)2005: 28 filings (4.76/100 renter HHs)2006: 39 filings (6.63/100 renter HHs)2007: 37 filings (6.29/100 renter HHs)2009: 27 filings (4.59/100 renter HHs)2010: 23 filings (4.08/100 renter HHs)2011: 21 filings (3.01/100 renter HHs)2012: 33 filings (4.73/100 renter HHs)2013: 37 filings (5.31/100 renter HHs)2014: 37 filings (5.31/100 renter HHs)2015: 23 filings (3.30/100 renter HHs)2016: 40 filings (7.92/100 renter HHs)2017: 32 filings (6.34/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ashtabula, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Ashtabula County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39007000601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39007000601?

Census tract 39007000601 in the Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39007000601?

Median gross rent is $960/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39007000601?

32.6% of residents in tract 39007000601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,063.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39007000601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 95th, minority 54th, housing 42th.
Q5

Is tract 39007000601 considered part of Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39007000601 fall within Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39007000601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 457 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39007000601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.04% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39007000601 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39007000601 compare to Ashtabula overall?

Tract 39007000601 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Ashtabula at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashtabula; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ashtabula

Top eight tracts in Ashtabula ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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