Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Ashtabula Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39007000703 · Ashtabula County, OH · pop 3,269 · 74% of tract blocks fall in Ashtabula
How risky is Ashtabula for landlords? Census tract 39007000703 scores 6.6/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 88% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $900 monthly, set against $40,013 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,375
Renter share55.3%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate39.2%
Median income$40,013
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
National
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ashtabula and the region
Centroid at 41.8510, -80.8074 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ashtabula scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ashtabula
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
39.2% poverty · this tract
9.8
Supply constraint
$900 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ashtabula
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ashtabula
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ashtabula
8.4
How Ashtabula compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 671Total filings over 15 yrs
- 6.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.5%Peak (2016)
- 53Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.8%Housing insecurity
- 17.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.8%Food insecurity
- 30.6%SNAP enrollment
- 15.4%Transit barriers
- 15.0%No health insurance
- 23.6%Frequent mental distress
- 41.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ashtabula
What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ashtabula, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Ashtabula County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 21.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 671 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 6.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.5% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39007000703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39007000703?
Census tract 39007000703 in Ashtabula scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39007000703?
Median gross rent is $900/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39007000703?
39.2% of residents in tract 39007000703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,269.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39007000703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 94th, minority 48th, housing 43th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39007000703?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 671 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39007000703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.30% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39007000703 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39007000703 compare to Ashtabula overall?
Tract 39007000703 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Ashtabula at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ashtabula; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ashtabula
Top eight tracts in Ashtabula ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related
Explore the geography around tract 39007000703
Parent city ↑
Ashtabula
3 / 10
Parent county ↑
Ashtabula County
Parent state ↑
Ohio
Sibling tract →
Downtown Conneaut
5.7 / 10
Sibling tract →
Ashtabula Harbour Commercial District
5.7 / 10
Sibling tract →
Tract 39007000701
5.8 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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