Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally
Garrett Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , East Cleveland
Tract 39035151500 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 1,034 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 7.4/10, tract 39035151500 in the Garrett Square area of East Cleveland, OH reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,034 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units357
Renter share80.7%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate50.4%
Median income$31,899
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Cleveland and the region
Centroid at 41.5267, -81.5862 · click any tract to drill in
Why Garrett Square scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Cleveland
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
50.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$847 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Cleveland
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Cleveland
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Cleveland
8.9
How Garrett Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 83%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,025Total filings over 12 yrs
- 21.23%Avg annual filing rate
- 35.1%Peak (2016)
- 121Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 227% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Garrett Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 34.9%Housing insecurity
- 31.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 49.3%Food insecurity
- 53.0%SNAP enrollment
- 24.2%Transit barriers
- 15.6%No health insurance
- 20.9%Frequent mental distress
- 47.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Garrett Square
Food insecurity runs 49.3% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Cuyahoga County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.8 points. The poverty rate is 50%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.8/10. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.9/10. Against Cuyahoga County at 43.0%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened. Disability prevalence runs 47.4% against 31.5% nationally.
Court records carry 1,025 eviction filings across 12 observed years. Average gross rent is $847, 9% above the East Cleveland average.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 35.1% of renter households.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39035151500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035151500?
Census tract 39035151500 in the Garrett Square neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39035151500?
Median gross rent is $847/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39035151500?
50.4% of residents in tract 39035151500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,034.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39035151500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 82th, minority 88th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 39035151500 considered part of Garrett Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035151500 fall within Garrett Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035151500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,025 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035151500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.23% of renter households, peaking at 35.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39035151500 struggle to pay rent?
About 34.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39035151500 compare to East Cleveland overall?
Tract 39035151500 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of East Cleveland at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Cleveland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39035151500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Cleveland
Top eight tracts in East Cleveland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Five Points
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Forest Hills
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Grandview
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Colonial Heights
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Forest Hill Historic District
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Superior Hill
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Garrett Square
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Garrett Square
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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