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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,519 of 84,120 nationally

Garrett Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , East Cleveland

Tract 39035151700 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 1,287 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

How risky is the Garrett Square neighborhood of East Cleveland for landlords? Census tract 39035151700 scores 7.2/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #3,214 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 77% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 55% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $758 monthly, set against $44,276 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 8% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units449
Renter share32.5%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate40.0%
Median income$44,276

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileBottomTop
#3 of 5 tracts In Garrett Square
Moderate
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileBottomTop
#6 of 10 tracts In East Cleveland
Moderate
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileBottomTop
#62 of 427 tracts In Cuyahoga County
High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileBottomTop
#138 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across East Cleveland and the region

Centroid at 41.5194, -81.5924 · click any tract to drill in

Why Garrett Square scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Cleveland
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
40.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$758 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Cleveland
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Cleveland
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Cleveland
8.9

How Garrett Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Garrett Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 151700East Cleveland: 6.16.1East Clevelandparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 783Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 21.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.3%Peak (2007)
  • 38Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390351517002004: 55 filings (11.80/100 renter HHs)2005: 78 filings (19.90/100 renter HHs)2006: 100 filings (25.51/100 renter HHs)2007: 107 filings (27.30/100 renter HHs)2008: 78 filings (19.90/100 renter HHs)2009: 69 filings (17.60/100 renter HHs)2010: 70 filings (22.44/100 renter HHs)2011: 53 filings (25.36/100 renter HHs)2012: 51 filings (24.40/100 renter HHs)2013: 42 filings (20.10/100 renter HHs)2015: 42 filings (20.10/100 renter HHs)2016: 38 filings (17.59/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Garrett Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Garrett Square

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East Cleveland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 29% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035151700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035151700?

Census tract 39035151700 in the Garrett Square neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39035151700?

Median gross rent is $758/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035151700?

40.0% of residents in tract 39035151700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,287.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035151700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 94th, minority 97th, housing 57th.

Q5

Is tract 39035151700 considered part of Garrett Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035151700 fall within Garrett Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035151700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 783 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035151700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.00% of renter households, peaking at 27.3% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 39035151700 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 39035151700 compare to East Cleveland overall?

Tract 39035151700 scores 6/10, right in line with the parent city of East Cleveland at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Cleveland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 39035151700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East Cleveland

Top eight tracts in East Cleveland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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