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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

McKelvey Plat Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sandusky

Tract 39043041200 · Erie County, OH · pop 2,514 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 5.8/10, tract 39043041200 in the McKelvey Plat area of Sandusky, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,514 residents. Severe burden reaches 43%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 25% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,202
Renter share54.9%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate27.9%
Median income$46,286

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In McKelvey Plat
Very High
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 8 tracts In Sandusky
Moderate
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 19 tracts In Erie County
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#295 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sandusky and the region

Centroid at 41.4435, -82.6951 · click any tract to drill in

Why McKelvey Plat scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sandusky
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
27.9% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$820 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sandusky
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sandusky
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sandusky
7.1

How McKelvey Plat compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McKelvey Plat risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0412004.4Sanduskyparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 319Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 7.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.2%Peak (2013)
  • 50Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39043041200
Filings climbed 47% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McKelvey Plat. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McKelvey Plat

55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Erie County average of 37.2%. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Erie County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.8/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10. SNAP participation runs 25.4% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 319 filings here across 7 tracked years.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Average gross rent is $820, 9% below the Sandusky average.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 8.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 7.5% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39043041200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39043041200?

Census tract 39043041200 in the McKelvey Plat neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39043041200?

Median gross rent is $820/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39043041200?

27.9% of residents in tract 39043041200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,514.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39043041200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 45th, minority 58th, housing 11th.
Q5

Is tract 39043041200 considered part of McKelvey Plat?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39043041200 fall within McKelvey Plat (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39043041200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 319 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39043041200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.45% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39043041200 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39043041200 compare to Sandusky overall?

Tract 39043041200 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Sandusky at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sandusky; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sandusky

Top eight tracts in Sandusky ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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