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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

McKelvey Plat Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sandusky

Tract 39043040700 · Erie County, OH · pop 3,809 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 39043040700, home to 3,809 residents in the McKelvey Plat neighborhood of Sandusky, scores 5.5/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 56th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 32% of renter households, a high level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $794 a month against an average household income of $56,094 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 27% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,599
Renter share39.3%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate20.3%
Median income$56,094

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In McKelvey Plat
Very Low
Within parent city
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 8 tracts In Sandusky
Very Low
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 19 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#894 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sandusky and the region

Centroid at 41.4524, -82.6757 · click any tract to drill in

Why McKelvey Plat scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sandusky
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
20.3% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$794 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sandusky
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sandusky
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sandusky
7.1

How McKelvey Plat compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McKelvey Plat risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 040700Sandusky: 3.03.0Sanduskyparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 626Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 13.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.3%Peak (2018)
  • 125Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390430407002011: 60 filings (9.51/100 renter HHs)2013: 77 filings (12.20/100 renter HHs)2014: 77 filings (12.20/100 renter HHs)2015: 85 filings (13.47/100 renter HHs)2016: 97 filings (14.16/100 renter HHs)2017: 105 filings (15.33/100 renter HHs)2018: 125 filings (18.25/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 108% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McKelvey Plat. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McKelvey Plat

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sandusky, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Erie County average of 5.2 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39043040700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39043040700?

Census tract 39043040700 in the McKelvey Plat neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39043040700?

Median gross rent is $794/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39043040700?

20.3% of residents in tract 39043040700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,809.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39043040700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 70th, minority 57th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 39043040700 considered part of McKelvey Plat?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39043040700 fall within McKelvey Plat (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39043040700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 626 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39043040700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.59% of renter households, peaking at 18.3% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39043040700 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39043040700 compare to Sandusky overall?

Tract 39043040700 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Sandusky at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sandusky; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sandusky

Top eight tracts in Sandusky ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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