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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

McKelvey Plat Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sandusky

Tract 39043041300 · Erie County, OH · pop 3,594 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

39043041300 is a census tract in the McKelvey Plat area of Sandusky, OH. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,594 residents. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 19% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,529
Renter share48.5%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate22.5%
Median income$43,292

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In McKelvey Plat
Moderate
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 8 tracts In Sandusky
Elevated
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 19 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#295 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sandusky and the region

Centroid at 41.4348, -82.6871 · click any tract to drill in

Why McKelvey Plat scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sandusky
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
22.5% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$872 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sandusky
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sandusky
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sandusky
7.1

How McKelvey Plat compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McKelvey Plat risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0413004.4Sanduskyparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 708Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 14.63%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.6%Peak (2016)
  • 82Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39043041300
Filings climbed 17% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McKelvey Plat. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McKelvey Plat

Against Erie County at 37.2%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. It sits 1.6 points above the Erie County average of 4.2.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.8/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10.

Court records carry 708 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 17.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 14.6% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8/10. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39043041300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39043041300?

Census tract 39043041300 in the McKelvey Plat neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39043041300?

Median gross rent is $872/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39043041300?

22.5% of residents in tract 39043041300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,594.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39043041300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 91th, minority 56th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 39043041300 considered part of McKelvey Plat?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39043041300 fall within McKelvey Plat (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39043041300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 708 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39043041300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.63% of renter households, peaking at 17.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39043041300 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39043041300 compare to Sandusky overall?

Tract 39043041300 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Sandusky at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sandusky; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sandusky

Top eight tracts in Sandusky ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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