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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Lancaster Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39045032100 · Fairfield County, OH · pop 2,912 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

39045032100 is a census tract in the Lancaster Historic District area of Lancaster, OH. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,912 residents. Against Fairfield County at 39.8%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 11% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,323
Renter share26.9%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$64,777

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Lancaster Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 12 tracts In Lancaster
Low
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#11 of 36 tracts In Fairfield County
Elevated
Within state
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#1,142 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 39.7202, -82.5884 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lancaster Historic District scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,250 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.4

How Lancaster Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lancaster Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0321004.0Lancasterparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 178Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 2.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.3%Peak (2012)
  • 12Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39045032100
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lancaster Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lancaster Historic District

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2/10. Average gross rent is $1,250, 15% above the Lancaster average. The filing record is not thin: 178 evictions over 13 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2012, when 4.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Fairfield County average of 4.0 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39045032100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39045032100?

Census tract 39045032100 in the Lancaster Historic District neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39045032100?

Median gross rent is $1,250/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39045032100?

8.1% of residents in tract 39045032100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,912.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39045032100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 23th, minority 8th, housing 4th.
Q5

Is tract 39045032100 considered part of Lancaster Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39045032100 fall within Lancaster Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39045032100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 178 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39045032100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.66% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39045032100 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39045032100 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 39045032100 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster

Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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