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Census Tract · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Lancaster Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39045031300 · Fairfield County, OH · pop 3,301 · 82% of tract blocks fall in Lancaster

How risky is Lancaster for landlords? Census tract 39045031300 scores 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 49th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 30% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $384 monthly, set against $49,167 in average yearly household income, roughly 9% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 28% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,370
Renter share39.6%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate24.9%
Median income$49,167

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 12 tracts In Lancaster
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 36 tracts In Fairfield County
Very High
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#667 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,926 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 39.7104, -82.5504 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lancaster scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
24.9% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$384 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.4

How Lancaster compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lancaster risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 031300Lancaster: 2.62.6Lancasterparent cityCounty: 2.92.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 309Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 4.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.4%Peak (2013)
  • 16Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390450313002004: 19 filings (3.78/100 renter HHs)2005: 25 filings (5.68/100 renter HHs)2006: 25 filings (5.68/100 renter HHs)2007: 26 filings (5.91/100 renter HHs)2008: 18 filings (4.09/100 renter HHs)2009: 19 filings (4.32/100 renter HHs)2010: 20 filings (3.86/100 renter HHs)2011: 22 filings (3.79/100 renter HHs)2012: 20 filings (3.45/100 renter HHs)2013: 37 filings (6.38/100 renter HHs)2014: 34 filings (5.86/100 renter HHs)2015: 28 filings (4.83/100 renter HHs)2016: 16 filings (2.79/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lancaster

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfield County average of 5.0 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39045031300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39045031300?

Census tract 39045031300 in Lancaster scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39045031300?

Median gross rent is $384/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39045031300?

24.9% of residents in tract 39045031300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,301.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39045031300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 73th, minority 10th, housing 97th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39045031300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 309 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39045031300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.65% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39045031300 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39045031300 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 39045031300 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster

Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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