Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Lancaster Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39045031402 · Fairfield County, OH · pop 4,789 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Lancaster

Census tract 39045031402 covers part of Lancaster, OH, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,789 residents. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 29% Owners 45%

Tract context

Occupied units2,004

Renter share55.7%

SVI overall0.63

Poverty rate8.0%

Median income$52,675

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 39.7393, -82.5655 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lancaster scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lancaster

4.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.8

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

8.0% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$1,050 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lancaster

6.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lancaster

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lancaster

6.4

How Lancaster compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

53%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
8%Racial/ethnic minority
74%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.8%Housing insecurity
7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
12.7%Food insecurity
10.9%SNAP enrollment
7.3%Transit barriers
7.9%No health insurance
17.6%Frequent mental distress
32.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lancaster

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

Against Fairfield County at 39.8%, 47% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2/10.

It sits 0.9 points above the Fairfield County average of 4.0. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.6/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,050, close to the Lancaster average.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $52,675. 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39045031402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39045031402?

Census tract 39045031402 in Lancaster scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39045031402?

Median gross rent is $1,050/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39045031402?

8.0% of residents in tract 39045031402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,789.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39045031402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 78th, minority 8th, housing 74th.

What share of households in tract 39045031402 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39045031402 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 39045031402 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster

Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.