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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Lancaster Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39045032200 · Fairfield County, OH · pop 2,847 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 39045032200 covers the Lancaster Historic District area of Lancaster in Ohio. Home to 2,847 residents, it scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 45th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 39% of renter households, a high level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $950 a month against an average household income of $47,414 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 54% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 33% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,327
Renter share54.1%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate14.2%
Median income$47,414

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Lancaster Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 12 tracts In Lancaster
Elevated
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 36 tracts In Fairfield County
High
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#1,081 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lancaster and the region

Centroid at 39.7081, -82.5881 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lancaster Historic District scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
14.2% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$950 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
6.4

How Lancaster Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lancaster Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 032200Lancaster: 2.62.6Lancasterparent cityCounty: 2.92.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 563Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 6.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.7%Peak (2004)
  • 48Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390450322002004: 52 filings (7.69/100 renter HHs)2005: 42 filings (7.36/100 renter HHs)2006: 41 filings (7.18/100 renter HHs)2007: 38 filings (6.65/100 renter HHs)2008: 46 filings (8.06/100 renter HHs)2009: 39 filings (6.83/100 renter HHs)2010: 32 filings (4.48/100 renter HHs)2011: 47 filings (5.60/100 renter HHs)2012: 44 filings (5.24/100 renter HHs)2013: 48 filings (5.72/100 renter HHs)2014: 40 filings (4.77/100 renter HHs)2015: 46 filings (5.48/100 renter HHs)2016: 48 filings (7.33/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lancaster Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lancaster Historic District

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfield County average of 5.0 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39045032200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39045032200?

Census tract 39045032200 in the Lancaster Historic District neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39045032200?

Median gross rent is $950/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39045032200?

14.2% of residents in tract 39045032200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,847.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39045032200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 56th, minority 15th, housing 27th.
Q5

Is tract 39045032200 considered part of Lancaster Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39045032200 fall within Lancaster Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39045032200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 563 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39045032200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.34% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39045032200 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39045032200 compare to Lancaster overall?

Tract 39045032200 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Lancaster at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster

Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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