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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Bethlehem Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cincinnati

Tract 39061002300 · Hamilton County, OH · pop 1,368 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

39061002300 is a census tract in the Bethlehem area of Cincinnati, OH. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. Average gross rent is $1,526, 52% above the Cincinnati average.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 49% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units805
Renter share78.1%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate30.5%
Median income$54,931

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Bethlehem
Very High
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 110 tracts In Cincinnati
High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#40 of 226 tracts In Hamilton County
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#190 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cincinnati and the region

Centroid at 39.1213, -84.5119 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bethlehem scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cincinnati
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
30.5% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$1,526 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cincinnati
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cincinnati
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cincinnati
4.5

How Bethlehem compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bethlehem risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.9This tracttract 0023004.5Cincinnatiparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 732Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 13.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.4%Peak (2003)
  • 28Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39061002300
Filings dropped 69% over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 106Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.66×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Cincinnati, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bethlehem. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bethlehem

Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.3/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $54,931, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Hamilton County average of 4.4.

The voucher gap is 18.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Against Hamilton County at 42.5%, 37% of renters here are cost-burdened.

The filing record is not thin: 732 evictions over 16 years of observation.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39061002300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39061002300?

Census tract 39061002300 in the Bethlehem neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39061002300?

Median gross rent is $1,526/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39061002300?

30.5% of residents in tract 39061002300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,368.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39061002300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 3th, minority 81th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 39061002300 considered part of Bethlehem?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39061002300 fall within Bethlehem (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39061002300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 732 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 39061002300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.08% of renter households, peaking at 18.4% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 39061002300 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.66× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cincinnati eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 39061002300 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 39061002300 compare to Cincinnati overall?

Tract 39061002300 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Cincinnati at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cincinnati eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cincinnati

Top eight tracts in Cincinnati ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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