Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Bethlehem Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cincinnati
Tract 39061002300 · Hamilton County, OH · pop 1,368 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
How risky is the Bethlehem neighborhood of Cincinnati for landlords? Census tract 39061002300 scores 6.1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 77% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,526 monthly, set against $54,931 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 78% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 49%
Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units805
Renter share78.1%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate30.5%
Median income$54,931
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cincinnati and the region
Centroid at 39.1213, -84.5119 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bethlehem scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cincinnati
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
30.5% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$1,526 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cincinnati
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cincinnati
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cincinnati
4.5
How Bethlehem compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 732Total filings over 16 yrs
- 13.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.4%Peak (2003)
- 28Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 69% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 106Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.66×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Cincinnati, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bethlehem. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.5%Housing insecurity
- 14.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.1%Food insecurity
- 21.4%SNAP enrollment
- 13.3%Transit barriers
- 10.5%No health insurance
- 21.2%Frequent mental distress
- 27.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bethlehem
What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cincinnati eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hamilton County average of 5.6 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.66x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
In CDC survey modeling, about 18.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39061002300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39061002300?
Census tract 39061002300 in the Bethlehem neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39061002300?
Median gross rent is $1,526/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39061002300?
30.5% of residents in tract 39061002300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,368.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39061002300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 3th, minority 81th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 39061002300 considered part of Bethlehem?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39061002300 fall within Bethlehem (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39061002300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 732 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 39061002300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.08% of renter households, peaking at 18.4% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39061002300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.66× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cincinnati eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39061002300 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39061002300 compare to Cincinnati overall?
Tract 39061002300 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Cincinnati at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cincinnati eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cincinnati
Top eight tracts in Cincinnati ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Winton Terrace
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Westwood Town Center Historic District
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Pill Hill
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Pill Hill
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Roselawn
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Incline District
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Knowltons Corner
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Uptown Cincinnati
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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