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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Bethlehem Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cincinnati

Tract 39061002500 · Hamilton County, OH · pop 3,169 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 39061002500 sits in the Bethlehem area of Cincinnati eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. The severe-burden share is 47%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 68% Stable renters 23% Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units1,322
Renter share90.5%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate55.7%
Median income$40,343

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Bethlehem
Very Low
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 110 tracts In Cincinnati
High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 226 tracts In Hamilton County
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#190 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cincinnati and the region

Centroid at 39.1244, -84.5169 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bethlehem scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cincinnati
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
55.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,188 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cincinnati
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cincinnati
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cincinnati
4.5

How Bethlehem compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bethlehem risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.9This tracttract 0025004.5Cincinnatiparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 623Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 4.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.8%Peak (2002)
  • 12Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39061002500
Filings dropped 83% over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 171Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.96×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Cincinnati, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bethlehem. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bethlehem

Cost burden runs 75% here against 42.5% across Hamilton County. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 56%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

This is renter territory: 90% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Set annual rent against average income of $40,343 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Food insecurity runs 33.7% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.

It sits 1.5 points above the Hamilton County average of 4.4. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Average gross rent is $1,188, 19% above the Cincinnati average.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The filing record is not thin: 623 evictions over 16 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2002 at 6.8% of renter households.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39061002500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39061002500?

Census tract 39061002500 in the Bethlehem neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39061002500?

Median gross rent is $1,188/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39061002500?

55.7% of residents in tract 39061002500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,169.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39061002500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 1th, minority 28th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 39061002500 considered part of Bethlehem?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39061002500 fall within Bethlehem (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39061002500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 623 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 39061002500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.38% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 39061002500 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.96× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cincinnati eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 39061002500 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 39061002500 compare to Cincinnati overall?

Tract 39061002500 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Cincinnati at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cincinnati eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cincinnati

Top eight tracts in Cincinnati ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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