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Neighborhood · Elyria, OH

Colonial Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,614 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.1–5.4

Colonial Oaks takes in 2 census tracts of Elyria, OH, population 7,614. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Elyria baseline of 27.9%, 42% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.6/10. The poverty rate is 29%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Severe burden reaches 21%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10.

SNAP participation is 29.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.4/10. Food insecurity affects 29.6% of adults, 11.8 points above the national rate.

Filings are well documented here: 1,725 across 2 observed tracts. Average gross rent is $798, 12% below the Elyria average of $906.

The worst year on record was 2018, when filings touched 24.3% of renter households. That places it #3 of 7 neighborhoods in Elyria.

Judgments average 4.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Colonial Oaks vs Elyria How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.4% +52%
Elyria: 27.9%
Average gross rent
$798 -12%
Elyria: $906
Average HH income
$57,017 +7%
Elyria: $53,204
Poverty rate
29.2% +67%
Elyria: 17.5%
Renter share
35.6% -11%
Elyria: 40.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Colonial Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.1–5.4

Why Colonial Oaks scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Rent control risk
42% of income on rent · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Economic stress
29.2% below poverty line · Range 5.4–10.0 across tracts
7.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–2.0 across tracts
1.6
Risk score comparison

Colonial Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Colonial Oaks score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2Colonial OaksNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Colonial Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39093071400 5.4 3,064 44% $851
39093071300 5.1 4,550 41% $762
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 79

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 81%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 92%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 46%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 56%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Colonial Oaks

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,725Total filings (sum)
  • 20.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.3%Peak year (2018)
  • 18.42%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Colonial Oaks

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Colonial Oaks

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Colonial Oaks?

Colonial Oaks scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Colonial Oaks compare to Elyria overall?

Colonial Oaks scores 1.2 points higher than Elyria overall (4/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $798 vs $906.
Q3

What is the average rent in Colonial Oaks?

Average gross rent in Colonial Oaks is $798/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Colonial Oaks residents are renters?

36% of Colonial Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Elyria). The neighborhood has 7,614 residents.
Q5

Is Colonial Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

Colonial Oaks sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Colonial Oaks have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Colonial Oaks is census tract 39093071400 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.1 to 5.4, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Colonial Oaks for landlords?

Colonial Oaks carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Elyria as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Colonial Oaks?

Colonial Oaks has 7,358 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.3%), Hispanic / Latino (8.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Colonial Oaks

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Elyria

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Colonial Oaks.

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