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Neighborhood · Elyria, OH

Colonial Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,614 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5/10 · range 4.4–5.8

Colonial Oaks is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Elyria with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,614 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 42% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 21% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $798/month sits 12% lower than the Elyria citywide average ($906).

Risk score
5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Colonial Oaks vs Elyria How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.4% +52%
Elyria: 27.9%
Average gross rent
$798 -12%
Elyria: $906
Average HH income
$57,017 +7%
Elyria: $53,204
Poverty rate
29.2% +67%
Elyria: 17.5%
Renter share
35.6% -11%
Elyria: 40.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Colonial Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.4–5.8

Why Colonial Oaks scores 5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Rent control risk
42% of income on rent · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Economic stress
29.2% below poverty line · Range 5.4–10.0 across tracts
7.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–2.0 across tracts
1.6
Risk score comparison

Colonial Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Colonial Oaks score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Colonial Oaks: 5.05.0Colonial OaksNeighborhoodParent city: 2.72.7Parent cityhost cityState: 2.82.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Colonial Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39093071400 5.8 3,064 44% $851
39093071300 4.4 4,550 41% $762
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 79

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 81%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 92%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 46%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 56%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Colonial Oaks

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,725Total filings (sum)
  • 20.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.3%Peak year (2018)
  • 18.42%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Colonial Oaks

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Colonial Oaks

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Colonial Oaks?

Colonial Oaks scores 5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Colonial Oaks compare to Elyria overall?

Colonial Oaks scores 2.3 points higher than Elyria overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $798 vs $906.
Q3

What is the average rent in Colonial Oaks?

Average gross rent in Colonial Oaks is $798/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Colonial Oaks residents are renters?

36% of Colonial Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Elyria). The neighborhood has 7,614 residents.
Q5

Is Colonial Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

Colonial Oaks sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Colonial Oaks have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Colonial Oaks is census tract 39093071400 (score 5.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.4 to 5.8, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Colonial Oaks for landlords?

Colonial Oaks carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Elyria as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Colonial Oaks?

Colonial Oaks has 7,358 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.3%), Hispanic / Latino (8.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Colonial Oaks

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Elyria

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Colonial Oaks.

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