Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
Colonial Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Elyria
Tract 39093071400 · Lorain County, OH · pop 3,064 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Here is how census tract 39093071400, in the Colonial Oaks neighborhood of Elyria eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.4/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 3,064. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $851 monthly, set against $29,167 in average yearly household income, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,222
Renter share50.3%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate40.3%
Median income$29,167
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elyria and the region
Centroid at 41.3461, -82.1105 · click any tract to drill in
Why Colonial Oaks scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
40.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$851 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elyria
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elyria
6.4
How Colonial Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 967Total filings over 11 yrs
- 13.13%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.6%Peak (2004)
- 77Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Colonial Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.4%Housing insecurity
- 25.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 42.7%Food insecurity
- 45.5%SNAP enrollment
- 21.8%Transit barriers
- 17.4%No health insurance
- 26.2%Frequent mental distress
- 45.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Colonial Oaks
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elyria eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lorain County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 967 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 13.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.6% of renter households in 2004.
In CDC survey modeling, about 30.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 25.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39093071400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093071400?
Census tract 39093071400 in the Colonial Oaks neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39093071400?
Median gross rent is $851/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093071400?
40.3% of residents in tract 39093071400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,064.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093071400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 97th, minority 71th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 39093071400 considered part of Colonial Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093071400 fall within Colonial Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093071400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 967 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093071400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.13% of renter households, peaking at 16.6% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39093071400 struggle to pay rent?
About 30.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39093071400 compare to Elyria overall?
Tract 39093071400 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Elyria at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elyria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elyria
Top eight tracts in Elyria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Downtown Elyria
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown Elyria
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Washington Avenue Historic District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Eastern Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Pikewood Manor
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Washington Village
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Colonial Oaks
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Eastern Heights
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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