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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

East Toledo Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 39095010002 · Lucas County, OH · pop 3,244 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 39095010002 in the East Toledo area of Oregon, OH reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,244. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 31% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,257
Renter share45.3%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate9.8%
Median income$65,156

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In East Toledo
Very Low
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Toledo
High
Within county
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#127 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#2,197 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6404, -83.4819 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Toledo scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
9.8% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$816 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.1

How East Toledo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Toledo risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 010002Toledo: 4.04.0Toledoparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 469Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 5.23%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.7%Peak (2011)
  • 21Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390950100022003: 17 filings (2.68/100 renter HHs)2004: 28 filings (4.42/100 renter HHs)2005: 36 filings (7.38/100 renter HHs)2006: 39 filings (7.99/100 renter HHs)2007: 24 filings (4.92/100 renter HHs)2008: 26 filings (5.33/100 renter HHs)2009: 26 filings (5.33/100 renter HHs)2010: 17 filings (2.59/100 renter HHs)2011: 67 filings (9.71/100 renter HHs)2012: 58 filings (8.41/100 renter HHs)2013: 31 filings (4.49/100 renter HHs)2014: 31 filings (4.49/100 renter HHs)2015: 26 filings (3.77/100 renter HHs)2016: 22 filings (3.55/100 renter HHs)2018: 21 filings (3.39/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 24% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Toledo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Toledo

20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Lucas County average of 41.3%. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.2/10.

Against the Lucas County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. The filing record is not thin: 469 evictions over 15 years of observation.

Average gross rent is $816, 9% below the Oregon average. The worst year on record was 2011, when 9.7% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 5.2% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $65,156, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095010002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095010002?

Census tract 39095010002 in the East Toledo neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095010002?

Median gross rent is $816/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095010002?

9.8% of residents in tract 39095010002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,244.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095010002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 42th, minority 31th, housing 38th.
Q5

Is tract 39095010002 considered part of East Toledo?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095010002 fall within East Toledo (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095010002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 469 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095010002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.23% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39095010002 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39095010002 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095010002 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39095010002 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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