Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally
East Toledo Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 39095010002 · Lucas County, OH · pop 3,244 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.1/10 for census tract 39095010002 reflects conditions in the East Toledo neighborhood of Toledo, Ohio. That is riskier than about 41% of US census tracts.
About 32% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $816 a month while the average household earns $65,156 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 45% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,257
Renter share45.3%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate9.8%
Median income$65,156
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 41.6404, -83.4819 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Toledo scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toledo
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
9.8% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$816 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.1
How East Toledo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 29%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 469Total filings over 15 yrs
- 5.23%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.7%Peak (2011)
- 21Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 24% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Toledo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.8%Housing insecurity
- 9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.3%Food insecurity
- 13.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 10.4%No health insurance
- 19.0%Frequent mental distress
- 32.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Toledo
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 5.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lucas County average of 5.5 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39095010002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095010002?
Census tract 39095010002 in the East Toledo neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39095010002?
Median gross rent is $816/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39095010002?
9.8% of residents in tract 39095010002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,244.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39095010002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 42th, minority 31th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 39095010002 considered part of East Toledo?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095010002 fall within East Toledo (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095010002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 469 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095010002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.23% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39095010002 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39095010002 compare to Toledo overall?
Tract 39095010002 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Toledo at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39095010002 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related