Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
East Toledo Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 39095004702 · Lucas County, OH · pop 3,566 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 39095004702, home to 3,566 residents in East Toledo in Toledo, scores 5.6/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 60% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 27% of renter households, a moderate level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $355 a month while the average household earns $21,434 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,363
Renter share50.8%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate44.5%
Median income$21,434
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 41.6501, -83.4969 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Toledo scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
44.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$355 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0
How East Toledo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 73%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,521Total filings over 15 yrs
- 12.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.3%Peak (2015)
- 118Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 141% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Toledo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.8%Housing insecurity
- 21.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.9%Food insecurity
- 38.7%SNAP enrollment
- 18.5%Transit barriers
- 17.9%No health insurance
- 24.2%Frequent mental distress
- 45.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Toledo
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lucas County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,521 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 12.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 21.3% of renter households in 2015.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39095004702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095004702?
Census tract 39095004702 in the East Toledo neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39095004702?
Median gross rent is $355/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39095004702?
44.5% of residents in tract 39095004702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,566.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39095004702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 88th, minority 69th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 39095004702 considered part of East Toledo?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095004702 fall within East Toledo (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095004702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,521 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095004702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.57% of renter households, peaking at 21.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39095004702 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39095004702 compare to Toledo overall?
Tract 39095004702 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39095004702 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
McComas Village
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Warren-Sherman
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Birckhead Place
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Northriver
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Heather Downs
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Bush Street Historic District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
River East
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Northlawn
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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