Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
McComas Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo
Tract 39095010400 · Lucas County, OH · pop 3,237 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 39095010400 in the McComas Village area of Toledo, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 51%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units187
Renter share78.6%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate60.3%
Median income$18,350
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 41.6580, -83.6150 · click any tract to drill in
Why McComas Village scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
60.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$817 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0
How McComas Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 28%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 13%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 44Total filings over 13 yrs
- 2.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.8%Peak (2016)
- 5Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 400% over the past 15 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.9%Housing insecurity
- 17.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.1%Food insecurity
- 32.0%SNAP enrollment
- 23.6%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 32.3%Frequent mental distress
- 40.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McComas Village
Set annual rent against average income of $18,350 and the ratio lands at 53%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 60%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. This is renter territory: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Food insecurity runs 35.1% against 17.8% nationally. 51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Lucas County average of 41.3%.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Lucas County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The filing record is not thin: 44 evictions over 13 years of observation. Average gross rent is $817, 9% below the Toledo average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39095010400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095010400?
Census tract 39095010400 in the McComas Village neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39095010400?
Median gross rent is $817/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39095010400?
60.3% of residents in tract 39095010400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,237.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39095010400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 1th, minority 41th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 39095010400 considered part of McComas Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095010400 fall within McComas Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095010400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 44 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39095010400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.83% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39095010400 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39095010400 compare to Toledo overall?
Tract 39095010400 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39095010400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
ONYX
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
River East
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Warren-Sherman
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Old Towne
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
ONYX
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
East Toledo
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Warehouse District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Deveaux
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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