Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Arlington Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austintown
Tract 39099812601 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 4,355 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
The Arlington neighborhood of Austintown is where census tract 39099812601 sits, home to 4,355 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.5/10. That is riskier than roughly 56% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 37% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $690 a month while the average household earns $36,646 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 71% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 45%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units2,793
Renter share71.2%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate20.2%
Median income$36,646
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Austintown and the region
Centroid at 41.0919, -80.7384 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arlington scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Austintown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
20.2% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$690 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austintown
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austintown
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austintown
6.4
How Arlington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,128Total filings over 7 yrs
- 9.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.4%Peak (2009)
- 112Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.3%Housing insecurity
- 11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.8%Food insecurity
- 19.1%SNAP enrollment
- 11.2%Transit barriers
- 10.5%No health insurance
- 20.6%Frequent mental distress
- 34.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arlington
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Austintown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,128 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 9.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.4% of renter households in 2009.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099812601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099812601?
Census tract 39099812601 in the Arlington neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099812601?
Median gross rent is $690/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099812601?
20.2% of residents in tract 39099812601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,355.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099812601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 29th, minority 46th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 39099812601 considered part of Arlington?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099812601 fall within Arlington (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099812601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,128 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099812601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.03% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39099812601 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39099812601 compare to Austintown overall?
Tract 39099812601 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Austintown at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austintown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39099812601 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Austintown
Top eight tracts in Austintown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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