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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Arlington Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austintown

Tract 39099812601 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 4,355 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 39099812601 sits in the Arlington area of Austintown eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. Population here is 4,355. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 45% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units2,793
Renter share71.2%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate20.2%
Median income$36,646

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Arlington
Moderate
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 8 tracts In Austintown
High
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 75 tracts In Mahoning County
Elevated
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#881 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austintown and the region

Centroid at 41.0919, -80.7384 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arlington scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austintown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
20.2% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$690 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austintown
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austintown
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austintown
6.4

How Arlington compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arlington risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 8126013.9Austintownparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,128Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 9.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.4%Peak (2009)
  • 112Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39099812601
Filings dropped 44% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arlington

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.9/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Against Mahoning County at 42.6%, 37% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,128 filings here across 7 tracked years. Average gross rent is $690, 12% below the Austintown average.

The worst year on record was 2009, when 11.4% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Youngstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 9.0% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39099812601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099812601?

Census tract 39099812601 in the Arlington neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39099812601?

Median gross rent is $690/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39099812601?

20.2% of residents in tract 39099812601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,355.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39099812601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 29th, minority 46th, housing 42th.
Q5

Is tract 39099812601 considered part of Arlington?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099812601 fall within Arlington (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099812601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,128 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099812601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.03% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39099812601 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39099812601 compare to Austintown overall?

Tract 39099812601 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Austintown at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austintown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39099812601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austintown

Top eight tracts in Austintown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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