Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Victory Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Austintown

Tract 39099812604 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 5,669 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 39099812604 sits in the Victory Hills area of Austintown eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Average gross rent is $1,147, 46% above the Austintown average.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 7% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,362
Renter share13.6%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$94,777

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Victory Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 8 tracts In Austintown
Very Low
Within county
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#75 of 75 tracts In Mahoning County
Very Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#2,197 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austintown and the region

Centroid at 41.0877, -80.7783 · click any tract to drill in

Why Victory Hills scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austintown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,147 rent vs county FMR
8.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austintown
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austintown
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austintown
6.4

How Victory Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Victory Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 8126043.9Austintownparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Victory Hills

The voucher gap is 29.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.9/10.

Running hot, supply constraint reads 8/10. It sits 1.5 points below the Mahoning County average of 4.5. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10.

Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $94,777, annual rent is just 15%. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39099812604

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099812604?

Census tract 39099812604 in the Victory Hills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39099812604?

Median gross rent is $1,147/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39099812604?

10.7% of residents in tract 39099812604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,669.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39099812604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 16th, minority 6th, housing 38th.
Q5

Is tract 39099812604 considered part of Victory Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099812604 fall within Victory Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 39099812604 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39099812604 compare to Austintown overall?

Tract 39099812604 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Austintown at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austintown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austintown

Top eight tracts in Austintown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related