Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,660 of 84,120 nationally
Victory Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Austintown
Tract 39099812604 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 5,669 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 39099812604 (the Victory Hills neighborhood of Austintown, Ohio) comes in at 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,147 a month while the average household earns $94,777 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,362
Renter share13.6%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$94,777
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Austintown and the region
Centroid at 41.0877, -80.7783 · click any tract to drill in
Why Victory Hills scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Austintown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,147 rent vs county FMR
8.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austintown
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austintown
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austintown
6.4
How Victory Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 6%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.8%Food insecurity
- 8.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 30.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Victory Hills
What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Austintown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099812604
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099812604?
Census tract 39099812604 in the Victory Hills neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099812604?
Median gross rent is $1,147/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099812604?
10.7% of residents in tract 39099812604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,669.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099812604?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 16th, minority 6th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 39099812604 considered part of Victory Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099812604 fall within Victory Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 39099812604 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39099812604 compare to Austintown overall?
Tract 39099812604 scores 3.1/10, higher than the parent city of Austintown at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austintown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Austintown
Top eight tracts in Austintown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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