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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Westgate Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austintown

Tract 39099812301 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 4,516 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

How risky is the Westgate Park neighborhood of Austintown for landlords? Census tract 39099812301 scores 5.7/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 64% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $689 a month against an average household income of $49,966 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 15% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,909
Renter share25.9%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate21.2%
Median income$49,966

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Westgate Park
Moderate
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 8 tracts In Austintown
Elevated
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 75 tracts In Mahoning County
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#783 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austintown and the region

Centroid at 41.0920, -80.7210 · click any tract to drill in

Why Westgate Park scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austintown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.2% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$689 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austintown
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austintown
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austintown
6.4

How Westgate Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Westgate Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 812301Austintown: 2.62.6Austintownparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 175Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 5.35%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.4%Peak (2016)
  • 46Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390998123012009: 14 filings (4.76/100 renter HHs)2010: 9 filings (1.84/100 renter HHs)2011: 21 filings (4.24/100 renter HHs)2012: 26 filings (5.25/100 renter HHs)2013: 33 filings (6.67/100 renter HHs)2014: 26 filings (5.25/100 renter HHs)2016: 46 filings (9.43/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 229% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Westgate Park

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Austintown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 175 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 5.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.4% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39099812301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099812301?

Census tract 39099812301 in the Westgate Park neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39099812301?

Median gross rent is $689/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39099812301?

21.2% of residents in tract 39099812301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,516.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39099812301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 67th, minority 35th, housing 26th.
Q5

Is tract 39099812301 considered part of Westgate Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099812301 fall within Westgate Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099812301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 175 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099812301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.35% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39099812301 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39099812301 compare to Austintown overall?

Tract 39099812301 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Austintown at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austintown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39099812301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austintown

Top eight tracts in Austintown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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