Within parent city
29
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
Austintown Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 39099812500 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 4,869 · 29% of tract blocks fall in Austintown
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 39099812500 (Austintown in Mahoning County, Ohio) comes in at 4.9/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 34th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
24% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $830 monthly, set against $62,135 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 18% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,347
Renter share18.2%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$62,135
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
National
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Austintown and the region
Centroid at 41.1202, -80.7734 · click any tract to drill in
Why Austintown scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Austintown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$830 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austintown
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austintown
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austintown
6.4
How Austintown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 87Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.51%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.0%Peak (2009)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.8%Food insecurity
- 9.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 31.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Austintown
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Austintown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099812500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099812500?
Census tract 39099812500 in Austintown scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099812500?
Median gross rent is $830/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099812500?
10.3% of residents in tract 39099812500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,869.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099812500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 52th, minority 18th, housing 51th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099812500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 87 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099812500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.51% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39099812500 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39099812500 compare to Austintown overall?
Tract 39099812500 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Austintown at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austintown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 39099812500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Austintown
Top eight tracts in Austintown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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