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Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Austintown Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 39099812500 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 4,869 · 29% of tract blocks fall in Austintown

39099812500 is a census tract in Austintown, OH. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,869 residents. 24% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Mahoning County average of 42.6%.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 14% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units2,347
Renter share18.2%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$62,135

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 8 tracts In Austintown
Low
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#49 of 75 tracts In Mahoning County
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,905 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
National
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#59,654 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austintown and the region

Centroid at 41.1202, -80.7734 · click any tract to drill in

Why Austintown scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austintown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$830 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austintown
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austintown
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austintown
6.4

How Austintown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Austintown risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.4This tracttract 8125003.9Austintownparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 87Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 2.51%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.0%Peak (2009)
  • 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39099812500
Filings dropped 50% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Austintown

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.9/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Against the Mahoning County average of 4.5, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. The filing record is not thin: 87 evictions over 7 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2009 at 3.0% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $62,135, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler.

Average gross rent is $830, close to the Austintown average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39099812500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099812500?

Census tract 39099812500 in Austintown scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39099812500?

Median gross rent is $830/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39099812500?

10.3% of residents in tract 39099812500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,869.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39099812500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 52th, minority 18th, housing 51th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099812500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 87 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099812500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.51% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39099812500 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39099812500 compare to Austintown overall?

Tract 39099812500 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Austintown at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austintown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39099812500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austintown

Top eight tracts in Austintown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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