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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Gibsonville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown

Tract 39099801000 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 1,594 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 39099801000 sits in the Gibsonville area of Youngstown eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. It is home to 1,594 residents. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 28% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units610
Renter share55.2%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate45.9%
Median income$35,645

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Gibsonville
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 31 tracts In Youngstown
Moderate
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 75 tracts In Mahoning County
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#190 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Youngstown and the region

Centroid at 41.0826, -80.6382 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gibsonville scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
45.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$855 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6

How Gibsonville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gibsonville risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.9This tracttract 8010004.5Youngstownparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 274Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 14.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.1%Peak (2013)
  • 39Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39099801000
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gibsonville

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 46%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Food insecurity runs 37.9% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 23.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Against the Mahoning County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Mahoning County average of 42.6%.

At $855 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Youngstown commands. The filing record is not thin: 274 evictions over 7 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2013 at 16.1% of renter households.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Youngstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 15.0% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39099801000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099801000?

Census tract 39099801000 in the Gibsonville neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39099801000?

Median gross rent is $855/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39099801000?

45.9% of residents in tract 39099801000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,594.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39099801000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 96th, minority 78th, housing 34th.
Q5

Is tract 39099801000 considered part of Gibsonville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099801000 fall within Gibsonville (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099801000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 274 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099801000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.97% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39099801000 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39099801000 compare to Youngstown overall?

Tract 39099801000 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Youngstown at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39099801000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 48% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown

Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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