Bell Aire Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown

Against Mahoning County at 42.6%, 68% of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10.

The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Food insecurity runs 31.8% against 17.8% nationally.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. Against the Mahoning County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Average gross rent is $608, 16% below the Youngstown average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $41,429, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.