Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Arlington Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown
Tract 39099814000 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 2,790 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 5.9/10, tract 39099814000 in the Arlington Heights area of Youngstown, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,046
Renter share68.0%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate53.0%
Median income$20,101
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
97
th percentile
Very High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Youngstown and the region
Centroid at 41.1183, -80.6672 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arlington Heights scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
53.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$497 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
How Arlington Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 14%Grade C
- 44%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 428Total filings over 7 yrs
- 9.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.5%Peak (2009)
- 56Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 36% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 34.4%Housing insecurity
- 31.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 51.7%Food insecurity
- 56.6%SNAP enrollment
- 29.0%Transit barriers
- 17.4%No health insurance
- 28.8%Frequent mental distress
- 49.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arlington Heights
SNAP participation runs 56.6% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 53%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Disability prevalence runs 49.7% against 31.5% nationally. Average gross rent is $497, 32% below the Youngstown average. about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Mahoning County average of 42.6%.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against the Mahoning County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.
Court records carry 428 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099814000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099814000?
Census tract 39099814000 in the Arlington Heights neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099814000?
Median gross rent is $497/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099814000?
53.0% of residents in tract 39099814000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,790.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099814000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 74th, minority 81th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 39099814000 considered part of Arlington Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099814000 fall within Arlington Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099814000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 428 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099814000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.43% of renter households, peaking at 12.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39099814000 struggle to pay rent?
About 34.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39099814000 compare to Youngstown overall?
Tract 39099814000 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Youngstown at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39099814000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 44% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown
Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Gibsonville
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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Belle Vista
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Cochran Park East
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Lansingville Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Wick Park Historic District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Buckeye Plat
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Kensington
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Cottage Grove
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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