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Neighborhood · Youngstown, OH

Bell Aire Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 1,806 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10 · range 5.9–5.9

Bell Aire Hills is a one-tract neighborhood of Youngstown, OH, population 1,806. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.9/10, Moderate tier. 58% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Cost burden runs 68% against 34.3% citywide, putting Bell Aire Hills 33.3% over its own city. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 8.6/10.

The poverty rate is 29%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.9/10. Food insecurity affects 31.8% of adults, 14.0 points above the national rate.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 22.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $608, 16% below the Youngstown average of $728.

Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Youngstown, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. At 20% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Cottage Grove and Flint Hill. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Bell Aire Hills vs Youngstown How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
67.6% +97%
Youngstown: 34.3%
Average gross rent
$608 -16%
Youngstown: $728
Average HH income
$41,429 +19%
Youngstown: $34,746
Poverty rate
28.9% -20%
Youngstown: 36.2%
Renter share
20.0% -54%
Youngstown: 43.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bell Aire Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.9–5.9

Why Bell Aire Hills scores 5.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Rent control risk
68% of income on rent · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
20% renter households · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Economic stress
28.9% below poverty line · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Bell Aire Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bell Aire Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.9Bell Aire HillsNeighborhood4.5Parent cityhost city4.0Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Bell Aire Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39099814200 5.9 1,806 68% $608
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 79%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 94%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 19%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bell Aire Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bell Aire Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bell Aire Hills?

Bell Aire Hills scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bell Aire Hills compare to Youngstown overall?

Bell Aire Hills scores 1.4 points higher than Youngstown overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 68% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $608 vs $728.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bell Aire Hills?

Average gross rent in Bell Aire Hills is $608/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bell Aire Hills residents are renters?

20% of Bell Aire Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Youngstown). The neighborhood has 1,806 residents.
Q5

Is Bell Aire Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Bell Aire Hills sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Bell Aire Hills for landlords?

Bell Aire Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Youngstown as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Bell Aire Hills?

Bell Aire Hills has 1,888 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (77.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (14.7%), Hispanic / Latino (4.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bell Aire Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Youngstown

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bell Aire Hills.

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