Bryn Mawr Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown

The poverty rate is 50%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 25.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Housing insecurity runs 30.8% against 14.2% nationally. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10.

It sits 1.4 points above the Mahoning County average of 4.5. Average gross rent is $579, 20% below the Youngstown average.

The filing record is not thin: 441 evictions over 7 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2011 at 14.8% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Youngstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 9.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #19,618 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 9.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.