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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Stambaugh Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown

Tract 39099802300 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 703 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 5.9/10, tract 39099802300 in the Stambaugh Heights area of Youngstown, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 703. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 25% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units410
Renter share42.9%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate48.2%
Median income$25,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Stambaugh Heights
Very High
Within parent city
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 31 tracts In Youngstown
Moderate
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#14 of 75 tracts In Mahoning County
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#190 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Youngstown and the region

Centroid at 41.0770, -80.6698 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stambaugh Heights scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
48.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$781 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6

How Stambaugh Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Stambaugh Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.9This tracttract 8023004.5Youngstownparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 88Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 9.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.0%Peak (2016)
  • 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39099802300
Filings climbed 110% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Stambaugh Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stambaugh Heights

Food insecurity runs 42.6% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 48%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Set annual rent against average income of $25,625 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 27.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10.

It sits 1.4 points above the Mahoning County average of 4.5. Court records carry 88 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 25.0% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Youngstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39099802300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099802300?

Census tract 39099802300 in the Stambaugh Heights neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39099802300?

Median gross rent is $781/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39099802300?

48.2% of residents in tract 39099802300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 703.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39099802300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 92th, minority 91th, housing 21th.
Q5

Is tract 39099802300 considered part of Stambaugh Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099802300 fall within Stambaugh Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099802300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 88 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099802300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.72% of renter households, peaking at 25.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39099802300 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39099802300 compare to Youngstown overall?

Tract 39099802300 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Youngstown at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39099802300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 37% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown

Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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