Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Lansdowne Eviction Risk: Lower , Youngstown

Tract 39099800502 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 859 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

39099800502 is a census tract in the Lansdowne area of Youngstown, OH. It scores 3.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 859 residents. Food insecurity runs 51.9% against 17.8% nationally.

Risk score

3.1

Lower

Confidence 45% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%

Tract context

SVI overall-10.00

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Youngstown and the region

Centroid at 41.1261, -80.6316 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lansdowne scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Youngstown

5.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.9

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

this tract poverty rate

3.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Youngstown

7.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Youngstown

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Youngstown

8.6

How Lansdowne compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: -1,000

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

-1,000%Socioeconomic
-1,000%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
-1,000%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
9%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lansdowne. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

39.5%Housing insecurity
34.4%Utility-shutoff threat
51.9%Food insecurity
54.9%SNAP enrollment
28.6%Transit barriers
24.5%No health insurance
26.0%Frequent mental distress
42.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lansdowne

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 34.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10.

It sits 1.4 points below the Mahoning County average of 4.5. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Youngstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #65,414 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Model confidence here is 45%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39099800502

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099800502?

Census tract 39099800502 in the Lansdowne neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39099800502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the -1000th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic -1000th, household -1000th, minority 77th, housing -1000th.

Is tract 39099800502 considered part of Lansdowne?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099800502 fall within Lansdowne (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39099800502 struggle to pay rent?

About 39.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 34.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39099800502 compare to Youngstown overall?

Tract 39099800502 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Youngstown at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39099800502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown

Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.