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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

East Second Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 39113001501 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 4,073 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 39113001501 covers the East Second Street Historic District neighborhood of Dayton in Ohio. Home to 4,073 residents, it scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #46,255 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 37% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $940 a month while the average household earns $55,074 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 72% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 45% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units2,440
Renter share72.1%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate21.6%
Median income$55,074

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In East Second Street Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 51 tracts In Dayton
Low
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#46 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#736 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7596, -84.1891 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Second Street Historic District scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.6% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$940 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5

How East Second Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Second Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 001501Dayton: 3.43.4Daytonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,880Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 7.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.7%Peak (2013)
  • 108Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391130015012002: 79 filings (6.88/100 renter HHs)2003: 120 filings (10.46/100 renter HHs)2004: 116 filings (10.11/100 renter HHs)2005: 103 filings (8.29/100 renter HHs)2006: 120 filings (9.66/100 renter HHs)2007: 106 filings (8.54/100 renter HHs)2008: 95 filings (7.65/100 renter HHs)2009: 106 filings (8.54/100 renter HHs)2010: 118 filings (6.33/100 renter HHs)2011: 127 filings (7.14/100 renter HHs)2012: 135 filings (7.59/100 renter HHs)2013: 136 filings (7.65/100 renter HHs)2014: 125 filings (7.03/100 renter HHs)2015: 106 filings (5.96/100 renter HHs)2016: 62 filings (3.16/100 renter HHs)2017: 118 filings (6.01/100 renter HHs)2018: 108 filings (5.50/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 37% over the past 17 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Second Street Historic District

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 5.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 35% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113001501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113001501?

Census tract 39113001501 in the East Second Street Historic District neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113001501?

Median gross rent is $940/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113001501?

21.6% of residents in tract 39113001501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,073.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113001501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 5th, minority 57th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 39113001501 considered part of East Second Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113001501 fall within East Second Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113001501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,880 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113001501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.44% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39113001501 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39113001501 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113001501 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39113001501 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 35% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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