Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
East Second Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton
Tract 39113001501 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 4,073 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 39113001501 covers part of the East Second Street Historic District area of Dayton, OH, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,073 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 45%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units2,440
Renter share72.1%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate21.6%
Median income$55,074
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
24
th percentile
Low
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7596, -84.1891 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Second Street Historic District scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.6% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$940 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5
How East Second Street Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 35%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,880Total filings over 17 yrs
- 7.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.7%Peak (2013)
- 108Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 37% over the past 17 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.9%Housing insecurity
- 9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.5%Food insecurity
- 13.2%SNAP enrollment
- 9.1%Transit barriers
- 8.3%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Second Street Historic District
72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10.
Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10.
Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, 37% of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 1,880 evictions over 17 years of observation. Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 7.7% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 7.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113001501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113001501?
Census tract 39113001501 in the East Second Street Historic District neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113001501?
Median gross rent is $940/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113001501?
21.6% of residents in tract 39113001501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,073.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113001501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 5th, minority 57th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 39113001501 considered part of East Second Street Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113001501 fall within East Second Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113001501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,880 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113001501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.44% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39113001501 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39113001501 compare to Dayton overall?
Tract 39113001501 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39113001501 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 35% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
39113000500
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Huffman Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Dunbar Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Linden Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Dunbar Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Dayton View Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Linden Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113004200
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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