Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39113004200 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,785
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 39113004200 in Dayton, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.8/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,022
Renter share50.5%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate39.3%
Median income$32,287
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7418, -84.2424 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dayton scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
39.3% poverty · this tract
9.8
Supply constraint
$809 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5
How Dayton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 79%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,052Total filings over 17 yrs
- 10.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.5%Peak (2015)
- 52Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.2%Housing insecurity
- 26.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 39.1%Food insecurity
- 41.9%SNAP enrollment
- 20.3%Transit barriers
- 11.1%No health insurance
- 21.8%Frequent mental distress
- 41.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dayton
Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 39.1% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 39%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Housing insecurity runs 30.2% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 1.2 points above the Montgomery County average of 4.2.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,052 filings here across 17 tracked years.
Average gross rent is $809, 12% below the Dayton average. The worst year on record was 2015, when 11.5% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 10.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113004200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113004200?
Census tract 39113004200 in Dayton scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113004200?
Median gross rent is $809/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113004200?
39.3% of residents in tract 39113004200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,785.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113004200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 79th, minority 98th, housing 57th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113004200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,052 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113004200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.61% of renter households, peaking at 11.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39113004200 struggle to pay rent?
About 30.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39113004200 compare to Dayton overall?
Tract 39113004200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 39113004200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 79% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Dunbar Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Huffman Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Dunbar Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Dayton View Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Linden Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113004300
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113000801
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Linden Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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