Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Drexel Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 39113060200 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,576 · 95% of tract blocks fall in Drexel
Tract 39113060200 sits in Drexel, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. Population here is 1,576. The severe-burden share is 50%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units672
Renter share21.7%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$29,031
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
National
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Drexel and the region
Centroid at 39.7340, -84.2953 · click any tract to drill in
Why Drexel scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Drexel
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$764 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Drexel
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Drexel
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Drexel
5.0
How Drexel compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 735Total filings over 17 yrs
- 21.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.1%Peak (2011)
- 43Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 65% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.1%Housing insecurity
- 14.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.8%Food insecurity
- 24.5%SNAP enrollment
- 13.8%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 21.7%Frequent mental distress
- 39.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Drexel
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. At $764 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of Drexel commands. It sits 1.8 points above the Montgomery County average of 4.2.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Montgomery County average of 42.9%.
The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10.
SNAP participation runs 24.5% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 735 eviction filings across 17 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 17.1% of renter households. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113060200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113060200?
Census tract 39113060200 in Drexel scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113060200?
Median gross rent is $764/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113060200?
21.9% of residents in tract 39113060200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,576.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113060200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 97th, minority 73th, housing 31th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113060200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 735 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113060200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.02% of renter households, peaking at 17.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39113060200 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39113060200 compare to Drexel overall?
Tract 39113060200 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Drexel at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Drexel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 39113060200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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